Strat-O-Matic Sim Predicts KC Chiefs Over Philadelphia Eagles 30-27 On Last Drive TD

Super Bowl LIX Strat-O-Matic Sim Final Score KC 30 Philly 27

Kansas City Edges Philadelphia On Mahomes TD Pass With 0:15 Left In Strat-O-Matic Simulation Of Championship, 30-27

The 2025 Strat-O-Matic simulation of Super Bowl LIX has Kansas City quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, tossing a nail-biting seven-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown for the thrilling game-winning score with only 0:15 seconds remaining to give the Chiefs a third straight NFL Championship game title. The fairly high-scoring, 30-27 final score to defeat Philadelphia on Sunday at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans may also end up being be the most heavily bet professional football game of all-time. Strat-O-Matic (@StratOMatic), the market leader in sports simulations, predicts a first-ever, NFL three-peat for Chiefs Kingdom, Taylor Swift and the K.C. squad to celebrate history going back to the league merger in 1970. The Chiefs become the first team to win three consecutive circuit crowns since the Vince Lombardi coached Green Bay teams of 1966-68. The Sports Techie community blog gives Strat-O-Matic our gratitude for sharing with our readers and followers, their 2025 sim winner of the coveted Lombardi Trophy, as well as their 2024 NFL Champion sim. Head Coach Andy Reid also wins his 4th Championship putting him deservedly in the GOAT conversation for coaches, along with Mahomes for QBs, and Travis Kelce with TEs.

Patrick Mahomes MVP, Passes for 344 Yards

Sim Game Stats

Mahomes wins the Game 59 MVP after completing 29 of 44 passes for 344 yards, completing two touchdown passes, and tossing only one interception. Eagles QB, Jalen Hurts, also had a decent game, throwing 216 yards on 16-27, including two td completions, with zero picks, yet only picking up 33 yards rushing on 10 carries. The vaunted Chiefs defense led by DL Chris Brown, worked as a unit, led by legendary defensive coordinator, Steve ‘Spas’ Spagnuolo, himself winning his 4th title as an O.C. (3 with Chiefs, 1 with N.Y. Giants) setting an NFL assistant coach record, to slow down a sure fire Hall of Famer in running back, Saquon Barkley, held to 87 yards rushing on 20 carries with a single TD after rushing for 125.3 yards a game during the regular season.

Kicker Harrison Butker’s 22-yard field goal with 5:47 left in the third pushed Kansas City ahead for the largest lead by either team, 23-14, before K Jake Elliott nailed his field goal and TE Dallas Goedert’s second TD put the Eagles in front during the back-and-forth, instant classic matchup that resulted in five total lead changes.

Brown Takes in Seven-Yarder To Cap 12-Play Final Drive as Market Leader in Simulations Plays Out Final Football Game of Season

4th Quarter Magic

In the sim, the Eagles took a 24-23 lead early in the fourth on a nine-yard pass from Hurts to Goedert for his third and final catch resulting in 48 yards. Fly Eagles Fly went up 27-23 after a clutch 41-yard field goal by Elliott with 8:22 remaining.

Each team then punted, with the Chiefs grabbing possession on their own 20 with 4:43 left in the 4th quarter. Mahomes next did what he does best, marching his confident offense downfield converting two huge third-and-threes, short passes to RB Samaje Perine and TE Noah Gray to keep the intense drive alive, the latter coming with only 0:48 left on the clock, driving the ball to the Philly 14 yard line. After getting half that distance on a look-in pass to rookie WR Xavier Worthy with 0:30 left, Hurts connected with Hollywood in the end zone for the epic, winning score.

Saquon Barkley Held to 87 Rushing Yards

The rushing stats above reveal Barkley’s below average game in total yards rushing but what stood out to me was RB Kareem Hunt and his 4.8 yards per carry average for KC. Anytime a rusher gains about 5 yard per carry, it sets up the offense in manageable first and second down situations to move the chains and gain first downs.

What is revealing with the receiving stats is that 9 different receivers caught a pass, including TEs Kelce and backup Noah Gray, combining for 12 receptions. That signifies the Eagles linebackers and safeties had trouble guarding this position, something Reid must gave seen on tape with two week to prepare this gameplan.

The other stat that sticks out like a sore thumb is Eagles WR DeVonta Smith only getting 3 grabs for 24 yards. He’s too good for that to actually happen, imo, unless the Chiefs put shutdown CB Patrick McDuffie on him and double team WR A.J. Brown all game long, which may happen.

Sports Techie, play Strat-O-Matic board game or digital games yourself to see how the Big Game turns out any different.

Strat-O-Matic Pro Football Board Game

Looking over the red-zone stats, both teams are excellent at scoring points inside the 20. The Eagles run the ‘Tush Push’ when they are near the goal line that is nearly impossible to stop when Hurts tucks the ball in and is pushed from behind across the goal line, or first down line for that matter.

Tushpush Offense and Defense Formations

Will Reid go for it on 4th downs as is the new trend in NFL football or will he stay conservative and punt or go for field goal attempts rather than TDs.

Can the Eagles defensive line put pressure on Mahomes and get needed sacks to thwart drives and scoring opportunities.

Which defense will end up blitzing more becuase that may be one of the biggest keys of the game.

Who wins the turnover battle becuase that usually makes the biggest difference in the end.

I predict the under and more of a low scoring game with the Eagles winning the rematch of Super Bowl 57, 24-22.

Enjoy the game!

See you later sportstechie in Seattle, Atlanta and around the world!

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